Trump Harris Polls 2024 270. The winning candidate must secure at least 270 delegates to win the election, giving ms harris a narrow victory over trump, who would win 262, the poll finds. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Harris has been ahead of trump in the national polling averages since she entered the race at the end of july, as shown in the chart below with the latest figures. Five likely scenarios based on the candidates’ current standing in the polls and three less.